Senior Manager, Demand Planning
Victoria Beckham BeautyRole Overview We are looking for a Senior Manager, Demand Planning to join Victoria Beckham Beauty. Based in New York and reporting directly to the COO. The Senior Manager, Demand Planning will own end-to-end unit-level demand forecasting across both the Wholesale and DTC/Ecommerce channels, translating channel revenue plans into the forecasts that drive the company's monthly S&OP process. This role will partner closely with product development, marketing, digital and operations teams to ensure forecasted demand translates into the right inventory, in the right place, at the right time. Key Responsibilities Demand Forecasting (DTC/Ecommerce) Own the DTC/Ecommerce unit-level demand forecast, built from the revenue forecast shared monthly by the Ecommerce and Marketing teams; lead the monthly Ecommerce Forecast meeting to review and refresh assumptions. Lead the monthly DTC forecast review, comparing prior-month actuals to plans, future business activity planning and adjusting go-forward assumptions. Utilize sell-through by SKU, channel, and territory against forecast, reporting variances and adjusting the forward-looking model accordingly. Identify shifts in sales patterns, including halo effects from new launches, seasonality, and promotional lift, to incorporate into revenue and inventory planning models. Demand Forecasting (Wholesale/B2B) Partner with the Wholesale team to take the retailer-level revenue forecast and translate into a unit-level forecast. Lead the monthly B2B forecast review, comparing prior-month actuals to plans, future business activity planning and adjusting go-forward assumptions. Own new-door and retailer-level forecast planning in partnership with Wholesale, including onboarding new accounts into the forecast model. NPI, Tester & GWP Forecasting Partner with Product Development & Marketing to build and validate launch, shade-extension, and NPI (New Product Introduction) forecasts across all channels. Own Tester, Sample, and GWP (Gift with Purchase) unit forecasting process. Build and maintain a standalone rolling forecast for emerging or smaller channels to feed total S&OP. S&OP Leadership Own the monthly S&OP cycle end to end: consolidating channel forecasts, facilitating; cross-functional review meetings and presenting the consensus demand plan. Partner with Supply Planning to hand off the agreed demand plan, to ensure a clean transition from forecast to production and supply planning. Own Tier Classification forecasting inputs as part of the quarterly S&OP cycle. Inventory Optimization Partner with Supply Planning on monthly slow-moving, excess/aging and discontinued inventory reviews, using demand signals to recommend markdown, reallocation, or discontinuation timing. Inform key stakeholders of demand-driven risks to launch and marketing timelines, including exposure from under- or over-forecasted inventory. Provide the unit demand assumptions Supply Planning uses for packaging and wholesale materials (e.g., testers, applicators) purchasing. Reporting & Systems Maintain and continuously improve the company's demand forecasting infrastructure, currently housed in Google Sheets, ahead of the planned ERP rollout. Own monthly demand reporting, including forecast accuracy (forecast vs. actual), and present findings in the appropriate leadership forums. Document and formalize forecasting assumptions, cadences, and methodologies to build a scalable, less spreadsheet-dependent process. Skills & Experience 6-8 years of demand planning, forecasting, or S&OP experience, ideally within a multi-channel (DTC + B2B) consumer goods, beauty, or luxury environment. Proven ownership of SKU-level and retailer-level forecasting, with the ability to model unit forecasts off of channel revenue targets. Strong command of Google Suite, Microsoft, and forecasting/data analysis tools; experience with demand planning software and/or ERP systems a plus. Comfortable managing global forecasts across multiple channels, warehouses…